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Fragile leverage and cash flow shocks - Even a 5-10% disruption in cash flows can trigger systemic collapse because the global economy is over-leveraged against volatile inputs like $100 oil.
“5 to 10% is going to cause immense damage. When cash flows stop at the margin, everything collapses because of leverage.”
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Stablecoins as the new dollar frontier - The Genius Act could formally integrate stablecoins into the global financial architecture, cementing US Treasuries as the world's primary collateral.
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The end of the four-year cycle - Bitcoin's increasing decoupling from historical halving patterns suggests it is maturing into a macro asset driven more by global liquidity than internal mechanics.
“5 to 10% is going to cause immense damage. When cash flows stop at the margin, everything collapses because of leverage.”