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AI stock market bubble bursts in 2026
โThey are stating that the AI-fueled stock market bubble is going to burst starting right now in 2026. Their thesis is that starting in 2026, those spectacular gains are going to unwind precipitously because rising interest rates and a higher, stickier inflation rate will essentially act as gravity on these sky-high equity valuations.โ
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Sticky inflation crushes high-growth tech valuations
โWhen you buy a tech stock at a massive premium, you're basically buying the promise of huge profits 10 or 15 years in the future. But if interest rates are high today, the mathematical value of those future profits shrinks drastically. When Capital Economics says inflation is sticky, they are saying the easy money era is over, which means the justification for these astronomical tech valuations evaporates.โ
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Bridgewater slashes holdings in major AI titans
โBridgewater Associates has executed a massive portfolio pivot that completely contradicts the mainstream narrative. We are talking about cutting their holdings in Meta by over 46 percent, alphabet position by 40 percent, and they even cut Microsoft by 10 percent. These are the companies that completely defined the 2024 and 2025 bull run.โ
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Infrastructure costs risk becoming capital black holes
โThe core issue they are pointing to is the infrastructure cost. If the cost of building out the servers, the power grids and the massive data centers for AI outpaces the actual dollars and cents it generates in revenue, the math simply stops working. It becomes a black hole for capital.โ
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Shadow banking debt creates systemic contagion risk
โPrivate equity firms are lending billions of dollars to AI start-ups entirely outside the purview of traditional banking regulators. If one major AI start-up defaults on that private debt because their models don't generate the promised revenue, the contagion in that unregulated debt market could be incredibly rapid and entirely opaque until it is far too late.โ
