MONITOR CORRELATIONS

“When you have leverage, you could have everything go down together because leverage is being destroyed. But if you didn't have leverage and you just had, let's say, like $100 single dollar bills, they're all floating around, they all go somewhere. And with leverage, you've got $200, $300 floating around and it changes things. But if you just have no leverage, it's really simply just figure out where the money is going.”

“Nuclear shouldn't be a surprise to anybody, neither should geothermal. I mean, the earth is going to earth. If anybody knows anything about Iceland, Iceland consistently has one of the best energy production on the planet because they're basically sitting on a volcano. ... Clearly, if we are truly concerned about efficiency, maybe we need to rethink where we're focusing.”

“The thing to watch for earnings season, it's not the earnings themselves, it's how the market reacts to the earnings. What we've seen, if you're looking at the markets, let's say a company comes out with really bad results, and the market goes up. That's actually a good sign. That means most of the bad results are already priced in and it was better than people expected. But if they come out with great earnings, the market sells off, that's a bad sign.”

“The interesting part is, it takes about six weeks for the tankers to get to where they're going. This week or next is when the oil shock really actually hits. We're still going to have six weeks of this. For a lot of countries, and a lot of countries have actually struggled. And I think we talked about this last time, but there are a bunch of countries from the Philippines to India, to South Korea, and Egypt, to Malaysia. And they've all taken different tax as to how to handle the fuel crisis.”

“As we see more regulatory scrutiny in 2026, the tax man is coming for every single trade you've made over the last cycle. Using a professional crypto tax service isn't just about convenience anymore; it is about survival because the IRS has updated their algorithms to track on-chain movements with terrifying precision. You have to be proactive about your tax liability before the end of the fiscal year.”

“This is a time, I would not be chasing this, unless you're a day trader, I would just kind of take a pause and wait for things to settle down a little bit before you make your decisions. But in general, you want to be watching the markets and how it reacts to certain things. It reacts to earnings, how it reacts to Trump's message, how it reacts to whatever is going on. Because this is really how you can get a good understanding of the markets.”

“We were told that once the big institutions arrived with their ETFs and their massive capital, that the wild swings would settle down. Instead, what we're seeing in 2026 is that institutional players are actually exacerbating the volatility by using Bitcoin as a liquidity hedge during broader market downturns. The stability narrative was a lie used to get retail comfortable with institutional entry.”

“Nuclear shouldn't be a surprise to anybody, neither should geothermal. I mean, the earth is going to earth. If anybody knows anything about Iceland, Iceland consistently has one of the best energy production on the planet because they're basically sitting on a volcano. ... Clearly, if we are truly concerned about efficiency, maybe we need to rethink where we're focusing.”

“The biggest lie circulating right now is that owning an ETF is the same as owning Bitcoin. When you hold an ETF, you're holding a paper claim on a centralized entity's ledger, which gives them the voting power and the network influence. If you don't hold your private keys, you're essentially just participating in a digitized version of the old banking system we tried to escape.”

“We've seen multiple exchanges face liquidity crunches even this year, proving that the lesson of 'not your keys, not your crypto' is timeless. Using a cold storage solution like Arculus ensures that your assets are physically isolated from the internet and the reach of failing platforms. It's the only way to sleep soundly when the market is dropping double digits in a single afternoon.”

“What we saw this week is that, a week ago when we were talking, the markets were still pricing fear. Today, they're pricing relief. What was interesting is that when we first went into this conflict, we saw the markets pull back, but you and I talked about this, they didn't really pull back that much. Overall, when you look at the general, the average of the way markets pull back, and you look at where the markets pull back in this, we didn't even hit, even though they were overstretched to the downside, we really didn't hit some of the averages.”

“Right now, they're projecting that inflation will reach the Federal Reserve's 2% goal by mid-2028. Although, there's considerable upside risk to this. The projected inflation path, given the high uncertainty around the duration of the conflict. This is where we don't know, we don't know. Any conversation can change that. But right now, they're projecting that inflation to rise by approximately 3% by the end of 2026 before declining gradually towards 2% in 2027.”

“This is a time, I would not be chasing this, unless you're a day trader, I would just kind of take a pause and wait for things to settle down a little bit before you make your decisions. But in general, you want to be watching the markets and how it reacts to certain things. It reacts to earnings, how it reacts to Trump's message, how it reacts to whatever is going on. Because this is really how you can get a good understanding of the markets.”

“When you have leverage, you could have everything go down together because leverage is being destroyed. But if you didn't have leverage and you just had, let's say, like $100 single dollar bills, they're all floating around, they all go somewhere. And with leverage, you've got $200, $300 floating around and it changes things. But if you just have no leverage, it's really simply just figure out where the money is going.”

“Right now, they're projecting that inflation will reach the Federal Reserve's 2% goal by mid-2028. Although, there's considerable upside risk to this. The projected inflation path, given the high uncertainty around the duration of the conflict. This is where we don't know, we don't know. Any conversation can change that. But right now, they're projecting that inflation to rise by approximately 3% by the end of 2026 before declining gradually towards 2% in 2027.”

“The interesting part is, it takes about six weeks for the tankers to get to where they're going. This week or next is when the oil shock really actually hits. We're still going to have six weeks of this. For a lot of countries, and a lot of countries have actually struggled. And I think we talked about this last time, but there are a bunch of countries from the Philippines to India, to South Korea, and Egypt, to Malaysia. And they've all taken different tax as to how to handle the fuel crisis.”

“If you look at the correlation charts for the last eighteen months, Bitcoin isn't behaving like digital gold or a safe haven asset. It is trading almost tick-for-tick with high-growth technology stocks and speculative AI plays. This means when the Nasdaq catches a cold, Bitcoin is catching the flu, and we need to stop pretending it’s decoupled from the traditional financial system.”

“What we saw this week is that, a week ago when we were talking, the markets were still pricing fear. Today, they're pricing relief. What was interesting is that when we first went into this conflict, we saw the markets pull back, but you and I talked about this, they didn't really pull back that much. Overall, when you look at the general, the average of the way markets pull back, and you look at where the markets pull back in this, we didn't even hit, even though they were overstretched to the downside, we really didn't hit some of the averages.”

“The thing to watch for earnings season, it's not the earnings themselves, it's how the market reacts to the earnings. What we've seen, if you're looking at the markets, let's say a company comes out with really bad results, and the market goes up. That's actually a good sign. That means most of the bad results are already priced in and it was better than people expected. But if they come out with great earnings, the market sells off, that's a bad sign.”