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Geopolitics and AI create a market tug-of-war
โMarkets are sending mixed signals with geopolitics, inflation, and positioning all pointing in different directions.โ
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Short covering is driving the current market bounce
โPositioning fuels the bounce, raising concerns about whether this rally is real or just a temporary squeeze.โ
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AI compute leads the current productivity expansion
โAI compute still leads the way in this battle of fundamentals vs flows.โ
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Fed rate cut expectations remain overly optimistic
โFed cuts are often just wishful thinking when you look at the actual data and policy uncertainty.โ
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Gold remains a hedge against market manipulation
โGold's resurgence suggests a hedge against manipulation and currency debasement as investors seek safety.โ

