DEX in the City: Why the Prediction Market Bans Could Just Be Beginning

Key Takeaways

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  A new joint token taxonomy provides regulatory certainty - the CFTC and SEC have issued guidance categorizing most major digital assets as commodities, providing the clarity necessary for traditional financial firms to finally allocate capital to the US market.

  “Stylistically and from a tone perspective, there is an intentional transition from regulation by enforcement to regulation by regulation.”

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  The CFTC is shifting toward regulation by regulation - under Chairman Michael Selig, the agency is moving away from an enforcement-led approach in favor of formal rulemakings and advisory task forces focusing on DeFi, AI, and prediction markets.

  “The headline item is most major digital assets are now clearly in the commodity side of the regulatory categorization ledger, which is a level of certainty for market participants that lets you start to build new products, allocate capital with certainty in the United States.”

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  Global demand will force US equity perpetuals - while the current US regulatory regime for security futures is commercially non-viable, the rise of global onchain derivatives will necessitate a functional US parallel for perpetuals on equities like Tesla and Apple.

  “It's an MOU, Memorandum of Understanding, which the agencies have done over the years many different times... It’s a signal to the market that these folks are going to work together.”

Episode Description

Former FTX General Counsel Ryne Miller joins the DEX in the City crew to unpack the CFTC's crypto moves. Does the agency have the staffing to achieve its “aggressive” agenda? Thanks to our sponsor, Nexo, the premier digital wealth platform. Receive interest on your digital assets. Borrow against them without selling. Trade a variety of cryptocurrencies. All in one platform. Now available in the U.S. Get started today at nexo.com/unchained. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission under Chair Mike Selig has unveiled an expansive agenda across artificial intelligence, crypto and prediction markets.  Former CFTC staffer and FTX General Counsel Ryne Miller joins DEX in the City hosts Vy Le and Jessi Brooks to unpack the agenda and answer whether the regulator has the resources to fulfill it. According to Miller, the agenda could see the agency return to a schedule similar to the Dodd-Frank era under then-Chair Gary Gensler.  Beyond the CFTC's regulatory moves, Miller also weighs in on the growing bans on the use of prediction markets by certain officials. Find out why he says it is a trend that is likely to continue. Plus, should Canton be segregated from other blockchains? Hosts: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Jessi Brooks⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, General Counsel at Ribbit Capital ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TuongVy Le, General Counsel at Veda Guest: ⁠Ryne Miller, Partner at Morrison Foerster & Former FTX General Counsel Links: Unchained: CFTC Clears Path for Phantom to Bridge Crypto Wallets and Derivatives CFTC Moves to Rein In Prediction Markets as Industry Booms SEC and CFTC Move Toward Unified Crypto Rules Crypto Startup Bet on Its Own Fundraise on Polymarket, Then Apologized How Prediction Markets Make Espionage So Much Easier — and Risk National Security Visa Approves Its First Blockchain Governance Proposal, Joining Canton Network as Super Validator Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices