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“Bitcoin's bear flag is telling us everything, including an important clue into where Bitcoin is heading. These bear flags have very predictable patterns. And don't take my word for it. We can verify this in the charts. So let me go ahead and show you what I'm talking about. We're gonna be talking about this bear flag and its potential breakout and how this bear flag is giving us an important clue into where we're gonna be heading.”

“Now I say this all the time, bear market bottoms for Bitcoin are always ended with a failed bear flag. And you can see the failed bear flag right here. We have the flag pole. We have the flag formation. Kinda started to go low. We're still in the range, and then boom, it just off into the races. And so this was a failed bear flag that ended up marking the bottom.”

“Now I say this all the time, bear market bottoms for Bitcoin are always ended with a failed bear flag. And you can see the failed bear flag right here. We have the flag pole. We have the flag formation. Kinda started to go low. We're still in the range, and then boom, it just off into the races. And so this was a failed bear flag that ended up marking the bottom.”

“Right now, the thesis is playing out, just we haven't seen it start falling yet. But when I see the similarities of these bear flags and these bear flags, makes me think that maybe that was the bottom. And, you know, if you wanna talk about similarities, look at the similarities of the market right here, 2020 and 2021. You just kinda move this over. I mean, there there's already a lot of similarities in this market.”

“We have two flags right here. There's the flag pennant, the bear flag pennant. Here's the bear flag. And we can go ahead and measure these. What do you know? A thirteen day formation and a thirteen day formation. And so I don't know if this is chartists that are watching these bear flags and, you know, maybe measuring, like, alright. I I expect a breakout around seventy days because we saw seventy days here.”

“On-chain data supports that emotional strain. Santiment highlighted XRP's largest realized loss spike since 2022, roughly $1.93 billion in weekly realized losses. That's the kind of stat that tends to show up near capitulation moments, when holders finally sell at a loss after weeks of pain. Now, a capitulation signal is not a guaranteed bottom. It's simply evidence that fear has reached a point where weak hands are giving up.”

“When a scary macro event hits, crypto usually doesn't behave like digital gold in the first reaction. It behaves like a high-beta, high-leverage risk asset, especially in the first wave, because it trades 24-7, it's liquid, and it's packed with leverage that can be forced out. That's why you saw Bitcoin lurch lower on the headline flow, and you saw the usual second-order effect where altcoins, which are basically beta on beta, got hit even harder.”

“We're gonna continue to monitor this breakout. I am expecting a lot of resistance around 85 k. That's gonna be the bottom of this range right here. But, you know, I I did make the prediction. I think Bitcoin goes to 80 k, and then we do one more flush towards 60 k, maybe even dipping into the fifties.”

“Bitcoin's bear flag is telling us everything, including an important clue into where Bitcoin is heading. These bear flags have very predictable patterns. And don't take my word for it. We can verify this in the charts. So let me go ahead and show you what I'm talking about. We're gonna be talking about this bear flag and its potential breakout and how this bear flag is giving us an important clue into where we're gonna be heading.”

“We're gonna continue to monitor this breakout. I am expecting a lot of resistance around 85 k. That's gonna be the bottom of this range right here. But, you know, I I did make the prediction. I think Bitcoin goes to 80 k, and then we do one more flush towards 60 k, maybe even dipping into the fifties.”

“None of this is random. We knew the set up was there. Not because anyone can predict a strike or a headline, but because the market structure was already fragile. When flows are negative, when liquidity is thinner, when sentiment is jumpy, and when key technical levels are sitting right below price like trap doors, you don't need a lot of force to push the market down the stairs. And that's exactly what happened.”

“Right now, the thesis is playing out, just we haven't seen it start falling yet. But when I see the similarities of these bear flags and these bear flags, makes me think that maybe that was the bottom. And, you know, if you wanna talk about similarities, look at the similarities of the market right here, 2020 and 2021. You just kinda move this over. I mean, there there's already a lot of similarities in this market.”

“When traditional venues were closed or thin, on-chain oil-linked futures on hyperliquid surged about 5% after the strikes, with oil USDH perps jumping toward $71 alongside millions in trading volume and open interest. This matters because it shows what crypto has become: not just coins, but a parallel financial system that reprices macro risk in real time. Traditional oil markets don't trade like that on a weekend. Crypto does.”

“And if we measure this in daily candles, this candle, all the way until we finally put a lower low in, was seventy one days. Seventy one days we were in this bear flag formation, not including the pole. Well, let me go back to the old bear market. This was seventy one days... So essentially, the same amount of time.”

“And if we measure this in daily candles, this candle, all the way until we finally put a lower low in, was seventy one days. Seventy one days we were in this bear flag formation, not including the pole. Well, let me go back to the old bear market. This was seventy one days... So essentially, the same amount of time.”

“We have two flags right here. There's the flag pennant, the bear flag pennant. Here's the bear flag. And we can go ahead and measure these. What do you know? A thirteen day formation and a thirteen day formation. And so I don't know if this is chartists that are watching these bear flags and, you know, maybe measuring, like, alright. I I expect a breakout around seventy days because we saw seventy days here.”

“A lot of that pressure has been coming from the most important marginal flow source of the last cycle, US-spot Bitcoin ETFs. Sustained outflows have been tracked for weeks, framed as institutional de-risking while Bitcoin trades in a pressured band. And when ETF flow is negative, it's not just sentiment, it's mechanical. It is literally reduced marginal demand.”